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Explained: Australia's path to WT20 semis

We take a look at what Australia must do in their remaining two matches in order to keep their World T20 title hopes alive

Australia must beat India if they are to progress to the World T20 semi-finals after the hosts pulled off a miracle one-run win over Bangladesh on Wednesday.

India's pulsating win leaves them one triumph away from automatic qualification, but standing in their way is Australia on Sunday, who control their own destiny, and can reach the next stage by winning only one more match, but it must be the home side.

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As it stands, New Zealand (six points) lead Group 2, with India (four points) in second place, followed by Pakistan (two points), Australia (two points) and Bangladesh (zero points).

With three matches remaining in Group 2, only the Black Caps are assured of a semi-final berth, with India, Pakistan and Australia fighting it out for the second and final spot.

Australia can afford to lose to Pakistan on Friday, but not by too much, and advance but still needing to beat India.

Australia's Net Run Rate, currently +0.17, only becomes relevant if they lose to Pakistan in Mohali. Pakistan would then sit on four points with a minimum NRR of +0.25, and for Australia to leap frog Shahid Afridi's charges, they would need to beat India by enough to make sure their NRR is superior.

Australia's World T20 semi-final scenarios:


Scenario one


WIN against Pakistan


WIN against India


Scenario two


LOSE to Pakistan


WIN against India by enough to surpass Pakistan's superior NRR

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Meanwhile, Peter Nevill is keeping things as simple as possible.

"I imagine we'll just be looking to win this game (against Pakistan) and win the next game against India," the wicketkeeper said on Wednesday.

"If we drop one of these next two games, you're obviously relying on other results going your way and you'd much rather not be in that position.

"It's a must-win game for us, this game against Pakistan."

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Pakistan enter Friday's match off the back of a crushing loss to New Zealand, and Nevill said his teammates aren't taking them lightly.

"There's certainly no complacency from our point of view," he said.

"We won't be underestimating them.

"They're a dangerous team and if we don't perform well, we'll lose."