1st: Sydney Thunder (19 points)
Played 13 | Won 9 | Lost 3 | NR 1 | NRR 0.531
The run home Jan 12 v Heat (away)
The Thunder's win over the Renegades has sealed their spot in the top two, but they will rely on the Sixers dropping one of their two remaining matches to take out the minor premiership. It matters little with the semi-finals already locked in for Sydney's Drummoyne Oval, but in good news for the Thunder their final group match against the in-form Heat presents a solid challenge ahead of the play-offs.
2nd: Sydney Sixers (18 points)
Played 12 | Won 9 | Lost 3 | NRR 0.595
The run home Jan 13 v Renegades (away); Jan 14 v Stars (away)
For the two-time defending champions, the equation is simple: win both remaining matches and the minor premiership is theirs. They’ll be favoured to do exactly that, too, but should be wary of a Renegades team on a roll and desperate to make the finals. And as they discovered during the opening weekend of the season, they can ill-afford to take the Stars lightly either. The team finishing on top earns the right to host both semi-finals and the dominance of the Sydney teams means Drummoyne Oval has already been locked in as the venue.
3rd: Brisbane Heat (16 points)
Played 13 | Won 8 | Lost 5 | NRR 1.178
The run home Jan 12 v Thunder (home)
The Heat's outstanding net run rate means their semi-final berth is assured with one match left to play. They sealed their spot with a stunning win against the Stars on Thursday, and have one final hit-out against the Thunder to come. They could finish as high as second, but would need the Sixers to drop their two remaining matches to do so. Should they lose to the Thunder, they could be overtaken by the Renegades and finish in fourth.
4th: Melbourne Renegades (13 points)
Played 12 | Won 6 | Lost 5 | NR 1 | NRR 0.027
The run home Jan 12 v Hurricanes (home); Jan 13 v Sixers (home)
The Renegades' four-match winning run came to an end against the Thunder on Tuesday but they still hold their fate in their own hands. Win both of their remaining games and they’ll become the first Melbourne team to reach the WBBL semi-finals. Sounds simple enough, except they’ve got to face the Sydney Sixers, alongside bottom-ranked Hobart. One win would still see them advance if the Scorchers lose one of their remaining games against the Strikers.
5th: Perth Scorchers (12 points)
Played 12 | Won 6 | Lost 6 | NRR -0.552
The run home Jan 12: v Strikers (Alice Springs); Jan 13 v Strikers (Alice Springs)
A hamstring injury to Elyse Villani has been a big blow to the Scorchers, while fellow international Nicole Bolton is on personal leave indefinitely. Their loss to the Sixers on Sunday saw them drop out of the top four, meaning they need to defeat the Strikers twice in two days in Alice Springs next weekend and hope the Renegades drop at least one of their last two matches to be assured of a spot. If they drop a game to the Strikers, they'll need the Renegades to lose both remaining games.
6th: Adelaide Strikers (9 points)
Played 10 | Won 4 | Lost 7 | NR 1 | NRR -0.4
The run home Jan 12: v Scorchers (Alice Springs); Jan 13 v Scorchers (Alice Springs)
The Strikers remain alive, but only just. To advance, Adelaide need to win both remaining games against the Scorchers, by a large enough margin to move ahead of the Renegades on NRR - and rely on the Renegades losing both their remaining matches.
7th: Melbourne Stars (9 points)
Played 12 | Won 4 | Lost 8 | NR 1 | NRR -1.109
The run home Jan 14 v Sixers (home)
The Stars' defeat to the Heat on Thursday doused their faint remaining finals hopes, so there's just pride left to play for in their final game against the Sixers at the MCG on Monday. Can they upset the reigning champions for a second time in WBBL|04?
8th: Hobart Hurricanes (4 points)
Played 13 | Won 2 | Lost 9 | NRR -0.382
The run home Jan 9 v Renegades (away)
It’s season over for the Hurricanes, who’ve struggled since losing star international Hayley Matthews to a knee injury. They've been so close, yet to far on many occasions this season, including two Super Over defeats. But they have one more chance to influence the season when they meet finals contenders Renegades.