Rebel WBBL|04

Final four scenarios for the WBBL

The Sydney teams and Brisbane have qualified for the top four, but an interesting battle for the remaining spot looms

Laura Jolly

10 January 2019, 06:00 PM AEST

1st: Sydney Thunder (19 points) 

Played 13 | Won 9 | Lost 3 | NR 1 | NRR 0.531

The run home Jan 12 v Heat (away)

The Thunder's win over the Renegades has sealed their spot in the top two, but they will rely on the Sixers dropping one of their two remaining matches to take out the minor premiership. It matters little with the semi-finals already locked in for Sydney's Drummoyne Oval, but in good news for the Thunder their final group match against the in-form Heat presents a solid challenge ahead of the play-offs.

Carey leads Thunder to important win

2nd: Sydney Sixers (18 points) 

Played 12 | Won 9 | Lost 3 | NRR 0.595

The run home Jan 13 v Renegades (away); Jan 14 v Stars (away)

For the two-time defending champions, the equation is simple: win both remaining matches and the minor premiership is theirs. They’ll be favoured to do exactly that, too, but should be wary of a Renegades team on a roll and desperate to make the finals. And as they discovered during the opening weekend of the season, they can ill-afford to take the Stars lightly either. The team finishing on top earns the right to host both semi-finals and the dominance of the Sydney teams means Drummoyne Oval has already been locked in as the venue.

Perry powers Sixers to big win

3rd: Brisbane Heat (16 points) 

Played 13 | Won 8 | Lost 5 | NRR 1.178

The run home Jan 12 v Thunder (home)

The Heat's outstanding net run rate means their semi-final berth is assured with one match left to play. They sealed their spot with a stunning win against the Stars on Thursday, and have one final hit-out against the Thunder to come. They could finish as high as second, but would need the Sixers to drop their two remaining matches to do so. Should they lose to the Thunder, they could be overtaken by the Renegades and finish in fourth.

Heat cruise to crucial win

4th: Melbourne Renegades (13 points) 

Played 12 | Won 6 | Lost 5 | NR 1 | NRR 0.027

The run home Jan 12 v Hurricanes (home); Jan 13 v Sixers (home)

The Renegades' four-match winning run came to an end against the Thunder on Tuesday but they still hold their fate in their own hands. Win both of their remaining games and they’ll become the first Melbourne team to reach the WBBL semi-finals. Sounds simple enough, except they’ve got to face the Sydney Sixers, alongside bottom-ranked Hobart. One win would still see them advance if the Scorchers lose one of their remaining games against the Strikers.  

Renegades outclass Heat in Mackay

5th: Perth Scorchers (12 points) 

Played 12 | Won 6 | Lost 6 | NRR -0.552

The run home Jan 12: v Strikers (Alice Springs); Jan 13 v Strikers (Alice Springs)

A hamstring injury to Elyse Villani has been a big blow to the Scorchers, while fellow international Nicole Bolton is on personal leave indefinitely. Their loss to the Sixers on Sunday saw them drop out of the top four, meaning they need to defeat the Strikers twice in two days in Alice Springs next weekend and hope the Renegades drop at least one of their last two matches to be assured of a spot. If they drop a game to the Strikers, they'll need the Renegades to lose both remaining games. 

Lanning's lone hand not enough for Scorchers

6th: Adelaide Strikers (9 points) 

Played 10 | Won 4 | Lost 7 | NR 1 | NRR -0.4

The run home Jan 12: v Scorchers (Alice Springs); Jan 13 v Scorchers (Alice Springs)

The Strikers remain alive, but only just. To advance, Adelaide need to win both remaining games against the Scorchers, by a large enough margin to move ahead of the Renegades on NRR - and rely on the Renegades losing both their remaining matches.

Strikers top Hurricanes in Super Over

7th: Melbourne Stars (9 points) 

Played 12 | Won 4 | Lost 8 | NR 1 | NRR -1.109

The run home Jan 14 v Sixers (home)

The Stars' defeat to the Heat on Thursday doused their faint remaining finals hopes, so there's just pride left to play for in their final game against the Sixers at the MCG on Monday. Can they upset the reigning champions for a second time in WBBL|04?

Lee stuns Sixers with whirlwind hundred

8th: Hobart Hurricanes (4 points) 

Played 13 | Won 2 | Lost 9 | NRR -0.382

The run home Jan 9 v Renegades (away)

It’s season over for the Hurricanes, who’ve struggled since losing star international Hayley Matthews to a knee injury. They've been so close, yet to far on many occasions this season, including two Super Over defeats. But they have one more chance to influence the season when they meet finals contenders Renegades.