With seven teams in contention for the three remaining semi-final spots, take a look at the World Cup run home of each nation
What each team needs to reach the semi-finals
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1st: Australia (12 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 6 | Lost: 1 | NR: 0 | NRR: 0.906
The run home
June 29: v New Zealand at Lord’s
July 6: v South Africa at Old Trafford
With a semi-final spot already secure, the Australians may well use their final two matches to experiment with their side, although they’ll also be keen to maintain their momentum and earn a high seeding by continuing their winning run. Victory over the Black Caps on Saturday could also result in some handy bragging rights ahead of a possible re-match with their trans-Tasman rivals in the knockout stages.
2nd: New Zealand (11 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 5 | Lost: 1 | NR: 1 | NRR 1.03
The run home
June 29: v Australia at Lord’s
July 3: v England at the Riverside Ground
The previously unbeaten Black Caps could have secured a top-four finish with victory over Pakistan on Tuesday, but now must beat either Australia or England in the run home to be guaranteed of playing in the semi-finals. The Kiwis could still advance even if they lose their two remaining games and results go their way, but they'd rather have their fate in their own hands after such a strong start to the tournament.
3rd: India (9 points)
Played: 5 | Won: 4 | Lost: 0 | NR: 1 | NRR 0.809
The run home
June 27: v West Indies at Old Trafford
June 30: v England at Edgbaston
July 2: v Bangladesh at Edgbaston
July 6: v Sri Lanka at Headingley
Having had a scare against Afghanistan, India will be red-hot favourites in three of their remaining four matches and, based on form, would be expected to knock off England at Edgbaston on Sunday as well. Just two more victories will guarantee a semi-final spot for Virat Kohli’s side, but it won’t be easy against teams like England, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka who will be desperate for wins to keep their own finals chances alive.
4th: England (8 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 4 | Lost: 3 | NR: 0 | NRR 1.051
The run home
June 30: v India at Edgbaston
July 3: v New Zealand at the Riverside Ground
After three losses from seven games and two in the space of just five days, the host nation are now in serious danger of missing out on the semi-finals in a tournament many expected them to dominate. Pakistan's win over New Zealand on Tuesday has piled even more pressure on Eoin Morgan's side and given their two opponents on the run home – the Black Caps and India – have lost just one match between them so far, the hosts have their two biggest tests to come. Sunday’s clash against India at what is sure to be a heaving Edgbaston looms as one of the games of the tournament so far, but even victory there won’t guarantee England a top-four spot. And if results don’t go their way, they’ll have to knock off the Black Caps in Durham as well to secure a semi-final berth. Making matters worst for England, their strong Net Run Rate of 1.05 - the best in the tournament - may not count for anything in a tiebreaker situation given the teams near them on the ladder have had a washed-out game each.
5th: Bangladesh (7 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 3 | Lost: 3 | NR: 1 | NRR -0.133
The run home
July 2: v India at Edgbaston
July 5: v Pakistan at Lord’s
The Tigers have been highly impressive over the past month, but their tournament looks set to go on the line against India at Edgbaston on Tuesday. A loss there won’t be fatal to their campaign, but it will make it very difficult to reach the semi-finals for the first time. However, an upset win over Virat Kohli’s side would set-up a winner-takes-all battle against Pakistan at Lord’s on the penultimate day of the group stage, which could well provide the best crowd atmosphere of the tournament.
6th: Pakistan (7 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 3 | Lost: 3 | NR: 1 | NRR -0.98
The run home
June 29: v Afghanistan at HeadingleyJuly 5: v Bangladesh at Lord’s
Famously unpredictable, Pakistan's victory over New Zealand on Tuesday means they are now well-and-truly in the hunt for a semi-final berth with two winnable games still to come. Victory over Afghanistan on Saturday will move them into the top four - at least temporarily - while fierce rivals India could do them a huge favour by knocking off England on Sunday and then Bangladesh on Tuesday. Even if the Tigers lose to India, they could still be in contention for what looms as a winner-takes-all clash against Pakistan at the home of cricket on July 5.
7th: Sri Lanka (6 points)
Played: 6 | Won: 2 | Lost: 2 | NR: 2 | NRR -1.119
The run home
June 28: v South Africa at the Riverside Ground
July 1: v West Indies at the Riverside Ground
July 6: v India at Headingley
Despite winning just two of their six games so far, the unfancied Sri Lankan side have a golden chance of reaching the final four after their shock win over England last week. Victories over the Windies and South Africa alone could be enough to secure a semi-final spot, while winning all three of their games will put them in prime position. But their two washed out games might come back to haunt them; the first tiebreaker in the event of two teams being tied on points is games won, meaning even a boost in their Net Run Rate won’t necessarily help Dimuth Karunaratne’s side.
8th: West Indies (3 points)
Played: 6 | Won: 1 | Lost: 4 | NR: 1 | NRR 0.19
The run home
June 27: v India at Old Trafford
July 1: v Sri Lanka at the Riverside Ground
July 4: v Afghanistan at Headlingley
A heartbreaking loss to the Kiwis on Saturday will likely be a ‘what if’ moment for the Windies, who are all but out of the race for the top four despite remaining a mathematical chance. Jason Holder’s men will need to win all three of their games on the run home, including against unbeaten India tonight, and have a host of other results go their way to be any chance.
9th: South Africa (3 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 1 | Lost: 5 | NR: 1 | NRR -0.324
The run home
June 28: v Sri Lanka at the Riverside Ground
July 6: v Australia at Old Trafford
A horror campaign for the Proteas is already all over bar the shouting, with a semi-final spot an impossibility after their loss to Pakistan last Sunday.
10th: Afghanistan (0 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 0 | Lost: 7 | NR: 0 | NRR -1.634
The run home
June 29: v Pakistan at Headingley
July 4: v West Indies at Headlingley
Having fallen just short of an almighty upset against India, Afghanistan will be playing for pride on the run home and be eyeing their match against the Windies – who will likely to be out of contention by that stage as well – to register their first win of the tournament.