UPDATED: After Sri Lanka's loss to South Africa, take a look at the World Cup run home of each nation
What each team needs to reach the semi-finals
1st: Australia (12 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 6 | Lost: 1 | NR: 0 | NRR: 0.906
The run home
June 29: v New Zealand at Lord’s
July 6: v South Africa at Old Trafford
The Australians are back in action at Lord's tonight and victory over the Black Caps would hand them some useful bragging rights ahead of a possible re-match with their trans-Tasman rivals in the knockout stages. With a spot in the final four already secure, the Australians will be using their final two group matches to maintain their momentum ahead of the semi-finals.
2nd: India (11 points)
Played: 6 | Won: 5 | Lost: 0 | NR: 1 | NRR 1.16
The run home
June 30: v England at Edgbaston
July 2: v Bangladesh at Edgbaston
July 6: v Sri Lanka at Headingley
The only unbeaten team left in the tournament, India will be red-hot favourites in two of their remaining three matches and, based on form, would be expected to knock off England at Edgbaston as well. Just one more victory will guarantee a semi-final spot for Virat Kohli’s side, but it won’t be easy against teams like England, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka who will be desperate for wins to keep their own finals chances alive. Their clash against England on Sunday looms as the match of the tournament so far.
3rd: New Zealand (11 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 5 | Lost: 1 | NR: 1 | NRR 1.03
The run home
June 29: v Australia at Lord’s
July 3: v England at the Riverside Ground
Unbeaten in their first six matches, New Zealand now must beat either Australia tonight or England next week to be guaranteed of playing in the semi-finals. The Kiwis could still advance even if they lose their two remaining games and results go their way, but they'd rather have their fate in their own hands. The nerves will increase significantly if they can't get the better of the Aussies at Lord's tonight.
4th: England (8 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 4 | Lost: 3 | NR: 0 | NRR 1.051
The run home
June 30: v India at Edgbaston
July 3: v New Zealand at the Riverside Ground
After three losses from seven games and two in the space of just five days, the host nation are now in serious danger of missing out on the semi-finals in a tournament many expected them to dominate. Pakistan's win over New Zealand on Tuesday piled even more pressure on Eoin Morgan's side and given their two opponents on the run home – New Zealand and India – have lost just one match between them so far, the hosts have their two biggest tests to come. Sunday’s clash against India at what is sure to be a heaving Edgbaston looms as one of the games of the tournament, but even victory there won’t guarantee England a top-four spot. And if results don’t go their way, they’ll have to knock off the Black Caps in Durham as well to secure a semi-final berth. Making matters worst for England, their strong Net Run Rate of 1.051 - the second-best in the tournament - may not count for anything in a tiebreaker situation given the teams near them on the ladder have had a washed-out game each.
5th: Bangladesh (7 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 3 | Lost: 3 | NR: 1 | NRR -0.133
The run home
July 2: v India at Edgbaston
July 5: v Pakistan at Lord’s
The Tigers have been highly impressive over the past month and their tournament looks set to go on the line against India at Edgbaston on Tuesday. A loss there won’t be fatal to their campaign, but it will make it very difficult for them to reach the semi-finals for the first time. However, an upset win over Virat Kohli’s side would set-up a winner-takes-all battle against Pakistan at Lord’s on the penultimate day of the group stage.
6th: Pakistan (7 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 3 | Lost: 3 | NR: 1 | NRR -0.98
The run home
June 29: v Afghanistan at Headingley
July 5: v Bangladesh at Lord’s
Tonight is huge for Pakistan; victory over Afghanistan will move them into fourth spot, at least temporarily, and they will then look to fierce rivals India to do them a huge favour by knocking off England on Sunday and then Bangladesh on Tuesday. It will then come down to what looms as a winner-takes-all clash against the Tigers at Lord's on July 5 and while Pakistan don't have their own fate entirely in their hands, England's tough run home means Sarfaraz Ahmed's side are one of the favourites to advance to the final four.
7th: Sri Lanka (6 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 2 | Lost: 3 | NR: 2 | NRR -1.186
The run home
July 1: v West Indies at the Riverside Ground
July 6: v India at Headingley
Sri Lanka's thrashing at the hands of South Africa on Friday means they will now have to do it the hard way to reach the final four. They must win their final two matches to remain a chance, which won't be easy given they face unbeaten India in their final group game on July 6. They'll also need England, Pakistan and Bangladesh to slip-up on the run home and their two washed out games earlier in the tournament might come back to haunt them; the first tiebreaker in the event of two teams being tied on points is games won, meaning even a boost in their Net Run Rate won’t necessarily help Dimuth Karunaratne’s side.
8th: South Africa (5 points)
Played: 8 | Won: 2 | Lost: 5 | NR: 1 | NRR -0.324
The run home
July 6: v Australia at Old Trafford
A thumping of Sri Lanka on Friday has earned the Proteas just their second win of the tournament, but a semi-final spot remains an impossibility after five losses in their first seven games. They now have a week to wait before their final group game, against Australia in Manchester on July 6.
9th: West Indies (3 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 1 | Lost: 5 | NR: 1 | NRR -0.32
The run home
July 1: v Sri Lanka at the Riverside Ground
July 4: v Afghanistan at Headlingley
A tournament that promised so much has ended with a whimper for the Windies, who will look back on their heartbreaking loss to the Kiwis last Saturday as the ‘what if’ moment of their campaign. Already out of the race for a semi-final spot after their loss to India on Thursday, Jason Holder's side will be playing for pride in their two winnable games to come, against Sri Lanka and Afghanistan.
10th: Afghanistan (0 points)
Played: 7 | Won: 0 | Lost: 7 | NR: 0 | NRR -1.634
The run home
June 29: v Pakistan at Headingley
July 4: v West Indies at Headlingley
Having fallen just short of an almighty upset against India, Afghanistan will be playing for pride on the run home and be eyeing their match against the Windies – who will likely to be out of contention by that stage as well – to register their first win of the tournament.